Guest blogger - Brexit: the aftermath

As the whole world knows by now, the UK has decided to leave the European Union. Due to all the recent and shameful events that have been seen all throughout the UK, I am still unable to write an entry on my blog that will do justice to the reality of events and an entry that doesn't sound too emotional.

Facebook is Brexit, newspapers is Brexit, Twitter is Brexit, people talking on the streets is Brexit, go the pub and all I hear is Brexit, leave the pub out of frustration; get home to watch some TV only to find out that apparently nothing else is happening in the world apart from Brexit. Brexit this, Brexit that. Brexit! Brexit! Brexit! Brexit! Honestly, I can't stand it anymore.

I am a tax paying citizen in this country but I am here as a guest. I have the utmost respect for British people but I can't help of feel that I must remain silent. I have justified my point of view on a previous entry in this blog and in countless posts on Facebook that I proactively joined or was almost forced to respond once the results were known. I stand by what I said. I still believe the EU (organisation) is rotten from the inside and requires change. I still believe the people's voices would not be heard if the country had voted to stay. There would be no consequences for the elites and the corrupt system that is now the EU. Business would carry on as usual whilst a few members would relish on the result only as an excuse to steal a bit more.

For now, the country is divided, we are all grieving. Many people have seen a side of their own friends they have never seen before. The racism and xenophobic attacks have spread like the worst epidemic catastrophe that one could have ever imagined. People are grieving, communities are divided. I am speechless.

I have requested another blogger, Adam Tavener, if I could use his words instead. Adam also lives in Bristol (hence my request to him), he's a businessman and the Chairman of his own firm Clifton Asset Management. I believe that mirroring the words of someone who is a British national and who was on the side of the Remain campaign allows me to be unbiased at the moment; which I feel I must remain at the moment. 

I will, however, say this:
There is a big difference between Europe (the continent) and the European Union aka EU (the organisation) and how the UK relates to them. It's important for people from other countries to know that.

Owen Jones, placed it beautifully in his "Grieve now if you must – but prepare for the great challenges ahead" article published in The Guardian when he said "Threats that you will lose everything mean little if you already feel you have little to lose."

Maybe that's why the UK's vote was not only a cry for help from the poorer communities but as Glenn Greenwald said: "Corrupt elites always try to persuade people to continue to submit to their dominance in exchange for protection from forces that are even worse. That’s their game. But at some point, they themselves, and their prevailing order, become so destructive, so deceitful, so toxic, that their victims are willing to gamble that the alternatives will not be worse, or at least, they decide to embrace the satisfaction of spitting in the faces of those who have displayed nothing but contempt and condescension for them.
There is no single, unifying explanation for Brexit, Trumpism, or the growing extremism of various stripes throughout the West, but this sense of angry impotence — an inability to see any option other than smashing those responsible for their plight — is undoubtedly a major factor. As Bevins put it, supporters of Trump, Brexit, and other anti-establishment movements “are motivated not so much by whether they think the projects will actually work, but more by their desire to say FUCK YOU” to those they believe (with very good reason) have failed them."

Here's Adam.

Anyone else feel weird?

"At age 54, having started work at 17, being part of the EU, in its various forms, has been all I have known in my adult life. 

Although it never really dominated my thoughts or business decisions (we are a largely UK-focussed business) it was always there, in the background, a small but continuous noise, like some sort of bureaucratic tinnitus.

Like most of us (I suppose) I have felt many passing emotions towards the EU. Admiration at superb, largely empty French motorways.  Annoyance at the level of debt needed to fund the building of said superb motorways. 
Frustration at seemingly crazy bits of legislation designed to shape the behavior of 28 very different member states, and huge appreciation for the way that youngsters from Spain, France, Germany, Italy and the rest seemed to be able to go out and enjoy themselves in the evening, consuming alcohol responsibly and never causing the slightest trouble. Compare that to the war zone that is the centre of my home city of Bristol on a Friday and Saturday night, and you have to wonder where our kids learnt to behave with such breath-taking stupidity.

So it was always there, sometimes a talking point, but in Britain, particularly, it didn’t impinge much on daily life, and elections to the European parliament were almost completely ignored. 

For most Brits the biggest impact was probably being able to go through the ‘EU Citizens’ immigration channel when going on holiday, and being able to buy cheap fags and booze in greater quantities than was previously possible.

Then everything changed. I went to bed on Thursday last thinking that the Brexit campaign had proved their point, people were frustrated with the issues upon which they based their campaign, and something needed to be done, but ultimately caution would win out, and we would, by a small margin, vote to continue our relationship with Europe. Big mistake.

The decision that we took left me with an odd sense of bereavement in that something that I had simply taken for granted for so long would no longer be there. It didn’t mean that everything would automatically be awful, I didn’t buy all the project fear stuff, or better, I narrowly voted for remain as I found some of the Brexit economic arguments less than compelling, but absolutely, profoundly different.

If you will indulge me in an anecdote, I think an incident in my somewhat unruly youth sums up how I have been left feeling about this. Candidly I had a fractious and difficult relationship with my father who had the unenviable task of bringing up three of us single handed. By the age of 15 my rebellious spirit (and complete lack of caution or brains) got the better of me, and after a particular disagreement I announced that I was going to leave the family home and go and live with my mother and her new husband (uninvited, I might add, and much to my new stepfather’s utter dismay). This was the Tavener family equivalent of a defection from North Korea to South, a kind of treachery that could not be forgiven. Or so I was to find out later.

So off I went to live with the two of them in a pretty village in South Wales. After a couple of weeks I realised that I missed pretty much everything about my original home life. Whilst I was in the midst of it nothing felt special, but once it was no longer there I suddenly appreciated all of it - brother, sister, pets, garden, the lot. So I did the obvious thing and wrote a letter to my father explaining to him that I may have been a bit hasty, and that, on reflection, I was ready to come home now.

The reply I received was simply life changing for me. I was informed, in no uncertain terms, that I had made my bed, so I must lie in it, and was thus not welcome to return home, or even to visit.  Furthermore, and to rub salt in, I was told that things had been a lot more pleasant subsequent to my departure, and that the remaining family unit were having a whale of a time without me. In conclusion, I read, we wish you well, but you are absolutely on your own; actions have consequences.

At 15 years of age I have to say, this was a slap in the face that shocked me to my core, and I certainly spent the next few months feeling a deep sense of grief and loss. My fault, absolutely, actions do have consequences, but wow, what a short sharp life lesson that was.

The point of my sharing all this is that, for many of us, myself included, our sudden exit from the sometimes frustrating but ultimately comforting bosom of the EU evokes precisely those feelings, loss, and a slight fearfulness of the unknown. The comparison ends there however. Things did work out ok for me in the end, although it took quite a few more hard lessons to knock all the crap out of me. But the UK is different. We were, and are, one of the world’s most successful economies. 

We have an unrivaled history of blazing trails in almost all areas, commerce, arts, science, you name it. If you doubt me then you really should read what Bill Bryson has to say about us remarkable Brits. There never was a nation that punched so far above its geographic and demographic weight, and, once the new normal sinks in, I really believe that we will continue to do so.

In the short term there are a few things that urgently need to happen. The name calling must stop. We had a democratic vote, yet once again the side that lost won’t accept the result. To me that is profoundly undemocratic, indeed it verges on the dictatorial - ‘we will keep having the vote until it goes the way we want’. Not a good advertisement for our supposed intelligentsia. Various devolved administrations should stop banging the opportunist drum about breaking up the union. Grow up, by creating more uncertainty at this point you are actively harming the people you represent.

But most of all we need leadership. Now. Not after party processes that are months away. We need the confidence that there is a plan, and we are getting on with it right now. 
This businessman didn’t vote to leave, but we are where we are, and I believe we do have an opportunity to prove once again what a world beating place the UK is. Now that it is done I will do absolutely everything I can to make the new reality a huge success. Yes, it’s a big change, but it’s also a real chance to come together and demonstrate that our characteristic attributes of decency, tolerance, entrepreneurial spirit and hard work are just as effective, possibly more so, outside the EU than in it."

The EU referendum: a view from a goldfish bowl

As I write this, we are only just a few days away before the UK votes to either Leave or Remain as a member of the European Union.

I decided to write this post as this is a subject that has attracted a big deal of attention on the media (obviously) and I have spent quite a significant time in understanding whether the UK is better off in or outside the EU.

One of the things I came to realise is that both the media and the Government aren’t really listening to the people of Britain and their concerns. This referendum is lacking in planning and in providing accurate information or even giving the British people the re-assurance they need in key points.

I will highlight what I have been seeing to be the biggest problem with the referendum and why everyone is so confused with how the polls are moving. If only a few months ago it was preposterous to even imagine that the UK would vote in favour of leaving the EU, now the scenario is completely different. Same with the American elections and Trump’s increasing popularity.  I have also come to realise that the polls show something very different from everything I read and sometimes listen. The media says one thing, the betting websites say something similar, but the people who use the internet to raise their voice say something different.

Just out of curiosity, I have found the Leave campaigners to be much more passionate about the subject than the Remain ones. Surely if you think something is best for you and your country, you’d try to educate your family/friends/colleagues to what you feel is best instead of keeping quiet and keep your opinions to yourself. But I have only seen this (or mostly seen this) with the Leave campaigners.

Honesty moment here: my car radio is 99% of the time tuned in at BBC Radio 4 and when I get home and do some cooking the BBC iPlayer app is also usually tuned on Radio 4 (yes, I am boring like that. No, I don’t listen to The Archers. Well, actually I do… Only sometimes though. Anyway, moving on!).

In my defense, if you’re a politics/economics geeky sort of person like me, what is brilliant about Radio 4 is the amount of quality content you can get every single day – in the mornings you have John Humphrys interviewing politicians from all sorts of ideologies and parties  (in my opinion JH is just the best journalist in the world! That man has an ability to be unbiased, make the questions that no one else dares to ask and actually pushes for an answer. Top quality!) and in the afternoon you have debate programs with all sorts of different types of guest with different perspectives and opinions. What’s not to love?

Obviously, the last three or four months have been extremely focused on the referendum so I had the chance to listen to a lot of people in favour of the Leaving campaign and a lot in favour of the Remain campaign.

Now, before I go ahead, I think it’s important to clarify that I am NOT allowed to vote on the EU referendum. In order to clarify who CAN and who CANNOT vote, in sum, if you fall under any of the following, you are ALLOWED to vote.

“British, Irish and Commonwealth citizens who live in the UK, along with Britons who have lived abroad for less than 15 years, are eligible to vote.”

If you are not any of these, you’re left out. Like me.

If by now anyone is wondering my personal position on this matter, if I was allowed to vote, I would vote Leave. And I am happy to explain why but not here as it’s really not the point here.

By reading comments on forums, by engaging with friends on Facebook and getting involved in discussions, I came to realise that there are a few main points that are causing for the citizens of the United Kingdom wanting to leave the UK. As I am unable to state them all in just one post, I have narrowed it down to the following three:

• Citizens of the United Kingdom want reassurance that their voices are being heard in the EU and their interests are being protected;
• Citizens of the United Kingdom want to know EXACTLY where the so broadly spoken £350million/week are being sent to and WHY;
• Citizens of the United Kingdom want control over their borders.

Let me jump straight away to the last point and clarify something. A lot of people are currently being called racists and xenophobes because they defend control of the borders in the UK. If that was true, I would be facing a lot of abuse on social media and other discussion forums I have been engaging with. That hasn’t happened not even once. And my boyfriend (who’s English) still hasn’t dumped me over my nationality and he’s in favour of leaving the EU as well. Just to clarify that just because you see people saying they want to Leave the EU they are not Nazis, they are not Britain First or UKIP supporters and they do not want to leave the EU JUST because of immigration numbers.

Still on this point though, I heard one girl saying on TV in a Q&A session that she is not opposed to emigration but considering we talk so much about equality these days, why does a Doctor or a Nurse from outside the EU (which is a much needed resource at the NHS) needs to go thought an extensive visa process and someone with no skills at all, just because they live in the EU, is allowed to come in to the country?

I mean, I have to say, she does have a point. I won’t even start on the benefits system because I think it’s just ridiculous that someone who has never contributed to the country and has never paid a penny in taxes can literally land in the UK and as soon as they walk out from the airport, they can make a request for benefits (housing, jobseekers allowance, child benefit, etc.). It’s like winning the lottery when you think about it. Free money for doing f**k all. Fan-tas-tic!

Speaking a bit more broadly now, the EU is currently failing to address concerns that are spread throughout all the countries. The migrant crisis is a real problem, there are real people who are climbing on boats trying to save theirs and their children’s lives and this is something that is affecting all of Europe. Not just the UK. What is being done about that? Turning our heads the other way, won’t make the problem go away.

In Portugal, it was reported by the newspapers that the Government was in conversations with banks in order to use the houses that were repossessed by the Banks (worth mentioning these houses were from families that were unable to keep up with the repayments due to the recession), so these empty houses could be used to house refugees. This caused a national outrage. 

Portugal is very family orientated and most people don’t ever leave the area where they grew up. We have very strong family ties and like to be close to home.

A lot of people lost their homes upon the recession as they lost their jobs and the interest rates increased ridiculously to the point where a family previously paying €350/month on their mortgage was now facing a monthly payment of €800/month. It’s worth mentioning that at the time the minimum wage was around €486/month. In case you’re wondering, it hasn’t increased much since then and in case you’re wondering how we cope, we don’t. You either are forced to move in with your parents or in-laws like a lot of people did. Mind you, these are people who also have their own families and moved together with their spouses and children.

For these people to know they’ve always paid their taxes, worked hard and lost everything due to an economic crisis they had nothing to do with and were greeted with no mercy by banks and the government itself in relation to their situation, now knowing that their home, their dreams (yes, in Portugal owing your own home is a big deal) were going to be delivered in a gold platter to people from other countries was the last drop. Not because they don’t sympathise with them; not because they don’t want to help but because they feel betrayed by their government. Politicians elected by the people that should work FOR the people; who SHOULD act in their best interests instead of trying to look good on a international picture that doesn’t mean anything in real terms. 

Oddly enough, in Portugal we have a common saying that translates to “Only for an Englishman to see” which is commonly used to explain hypocrisy or in this scenario as it tries to hoodwink people into thinking Portugal is a great country when actually, Portuguese people, eight years after the start of recession are still struggling massively. 

The question you commonly hear is “We can’t afford to feed our own, how can we feed others?” As much as Portuguese people know that we are talking about other human beings that experience pain like you and me; That bleed like you and me; That have feelings like you and me; That were unfortunate to be born in a less peaceful place. “How can we afford to help if we can’t help ourselves?”

And this – whether you like it or know, whether you believe me or not – is the ugly, naked and raw truth of Portugal.

Brits want re-assurance that their voices are heard and want to know what is happening with the money that is being sent abroad rather than being spent in their country with their people.

As a member of my Church, a while back, I helped in the food bank in the area I live in. Food banks are depending on the charity of the people on those communities to help those who need it the most. Some of the stories are heart-breaking. The Europe where we live now is not a pretty sight in that regard.

The EU was created as a system for economic and political support between the nations. It was created with the best of intentions and with a great purpose. Is that purpose being fulfilled at the moment? I’m afraid I will have to say no. The previous President for the EU Commission was Jose Manuel Barroso. This person was Portugal’s Prime Minister when he was elected in 2002. He basically abandoned the country half way his mandate in 2004 when he was faced with the opportunity to join the EU. It’s a no brainer, really. “More money, more power, of course I’ll accept it! Fuck Portugal and their problems.” He did an impressive job with Europe same as he did with Portugal. He helped ruin something that was already fragile due to its nature.

Britons also want re-assurance that the NHS won’t be privatised and although Cameron is trying for the UK to be exempt from mandatory privations under the TTIP no exemption has been granted. If you’ve never heard of TTIP there is information about it out there. Don’t just take my word for it but make some research on your own.

For the sake of trying to show something unbiased, I have selected this article but I would suggest anyone to do their own research. It is scary stuff and there is a lot of people that simply isn't aware of it!

http://www.independent.co.uk/voices/comment/what-is-ttip-and-six-reasons-why-the-answer-should-scare-you-9779688.html

Just out of curiosity, ever since 1996 (there is no data previous to that), the UK has voted 55 times against a Directive from the EU (a Directive is legally binding to all member states and must be implemented in full) that would jeopardise the country and in all those 55 votes, the UK was over-ruled. This means that in 20 years, nearly 3 times a year the UK representatives said no to something that ended up having to be implemented against their will. It may not sound like much but keep in mind that these have a long lasting effect. And why shouldn't countries be able to decide what is best for them?

There are many reasons why I believe the UK would be better off leaving the EU. Do I speak against myself considering I am an immigrant? Maybe. But I like to think I am a fair person and I speak what I feel is right.

And to be honest, the Remain campaign hasn’t really bothered to refute the Leave campaigners, their numbers and the information they’re passing on to the millions of Brits who will be voting on Thursday.  In a nutshell all I’ve heard from the Remain campaign was “We have to stay because the UK is better in the EU (nothing else is added to that) and the Leave campaigners are racists.” Oh and the threat of an “emergency budget” by George Osbourne saying he would make cuts to the NHS, schools and increase taxes was the ultimate sign of desperation. Like when you see a teenage couple breaking up and one of them as an final act of despair (very Shakespearean kind of thing) makes a ultimatum trying to keep his lover. Perfect for Shakespeare, simply embarrassing if you’re the Chancellor.

But all is well as even members from his own party said they would never allow for such “emergency budget” to pass in the House of Commons and if he even tried to do that, I would probably think he’d be in need of professional help because that would be political suicide.

In all fairness, leaving the EU would be like a divorce. It’s painful, of course it’s painful. But the reason for the divorce to happen is because things aren’t working anymore and the short pain of the legal proceedings will provide the opportunity of lasting happiness for both parties. The most amicable it is, the better. It means all parties are adults and worry about one another rather than trying to rip each other heads apart.

If we decide to leave (I say "we" because I live here, pay my taxes here and the outcome will have an effect on me), there are risks associated, and is someone thinks otherwise is deluded. But if the UK decides to stay, there will not be another referendum anytime soon and the EU will be glowing and carrying on being administrated as it has been.

No matter what the outcome may be, one thing is certain. This referendum showed that the British people are not happy with the EU and its current policies as they stand.

Are people actually willing to do something about it?

I guess we will know the verdict when we wake up on Friday.